Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Rank #10801·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
7.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
Total Volume
$12,428.89
Liquidity
$6,369.58
Thin
Volatility
Confidence (R²)

Market Info

Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYES PriceNO PriceVolume (24h)LiquidityAction
polymarket--$0.00$6,369.58Trade

Resolution Rules & Criteria

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 29, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered."

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes
BearishNeutralBullish

Trending in General

No trending events found.