New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Rank #12092·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
21.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 81.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$4,109.00
Liquidity
$5,749.49
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
38%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
19%
Spread
4.00% (2105bps)
Depth
$5.7k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
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