Part of What will happen before GTA VI?

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Rank #12282·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jul 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
67.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 37.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$578,141.94
Liquidity
$15,604.48
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
75%

Market Microstructure

Mid
63%
Spread
9.00% (1440bps)
Depth
$15.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jul 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will GPT-6 be released
70.5%Trade
New Playboi Carti Album
62.5%Trade
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
62.5%Trade
New Rihanna Album
56.0%Trade
Trump out as President
51.0%Trade
Will China invades Taiwan
51.0%Trade
Will Jesus Christ return
48.5%Trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m
48.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

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