Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
Rank #10219·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
6.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$11,770.56
Liquidity
$8,867.47
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
10%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
5.0%
Spread
2.00% (4000bps)
Depth
$8.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Sarkozy is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time between November 10, 2025, 1:30 PM ET, and March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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