Part of What day will the Lighter airdrop be?
No airdrop in 2025?
Rank #496·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
6.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 93.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$775,857.49
Liquidity
$20,214.57
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
13%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
6.3%
Spread
0.10% (157bps)
Depth
$20.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Lighter Airdrop on December 29 | 80.0% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 30 | 8.6% | Trade |
No airdrop in 2025 | 6.3% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 28 | 1.7% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 27 | 1.2% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 31 | 1.2% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 26 | 0.7% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 25 | 0.4% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 24 | 0.1% | Trade |
Lighter Airdrop on December 13 | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date Lighter performs an airdrop on.
If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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