North Korea missile launch by December 31?

Rank #4507·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
13.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 88.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$39,259.61
Liquidity
$1,539.06
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
23%

Market Microstructure

Mid
12%
Spread
3.00% (2609bps)
Depth
$1.5k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

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