North Korea missile launch by January 31?

Rank #14162·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
37.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 63.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$67.81
Liquidity
$717.91
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
73%

Market Microstructure

Mid
37%
Spread
1.00% (274bps)
Depth
$718
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

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