Current YES Probability
88.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 13.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$719,567.63
Liquidity
$13,493.43
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
26%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
87%
Spread
2.00% (230bps)
Depth
$13.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:
- Epstein client list released
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- US x Venezuela military engagement
- Putin meets with Zelenskyy
- Bitcoin reaches $120,000
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+December.pdf
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