Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Rank #7563·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
61.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 40.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,729.12
Liquidity
$4,264.64
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
80%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
60%
Spread
2.00% (333bps)
Depth
$4.3k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Israel strikes Iran
- Israel withdraws from Gaza
- Syria strikes Israel
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled
- Israel x Turkey military clash
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Israel+Edition.pdf
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