Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Rank #12451·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
98.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 2.9%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$32,736.94
Liquidity
$1,495.59
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
6%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
97%
Spread
2.00% (206bps)
Depth
$1.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:
- A hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A megaquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Natural+Disaster+Edition.pdf
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