Current YES Probability
99.2%0.0% (24h)
NO: 1.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$34,562.89
Liquidity
$844.82
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
3%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
99%
Spread
1.30% (132bps)
Depth
$845
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:
- Nuclear weapon detonated
- A US-Iran nuclear deal is reached
- Israel confirmed it has nuclear weapons
- Trump says the 'N Word'
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Nuclear+Edition.pdf
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