Part of Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee by December 31?
Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee over 45% by December 31?
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
22.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 88.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$579.06
Liquidity
$34.11
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
23%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
12%
Spread
20.70% (17768bps)
Depth
$34
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Gavin Newsom' in the "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" market (https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028?tid=1764680585562) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any four-hour period ending by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-newsom-dem-pres-nominee-over-45-by-december-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
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