Part of Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Rank #7105·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
52.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 50.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$6,308.91
Liquidity
$1,930.52
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
99%

Market Microstructure

Mid
50%
Spread
5.00% (1010bps)
Depth
$1.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December 31
49.5%Trade
June 30
32.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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