Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Rank #8846·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
20.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 82.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$80,772.05
Liquidity
$5,599.87
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
36%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
18%
Spread
4.00% (2222bps)
Depth
$5.6k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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