Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?
Rank #9518·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
28.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 73.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$19,916.09
Liquidity
$10,843.76
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
53%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
27%
Spread
3.00% (1132bps)
Depth
$10.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre announces he is resigning as head of the Conservative Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Conservative Party of Canada for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pierre Poilievre or the Conservative Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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