Current YES Probability
51.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 49.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$1.08
Liquidity
$33.24
Thin
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
—
Spread
—
Depth
$33
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 19, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Up” if the median price for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is higher during the one-hour period from 2:00 to 2:59 PM on December 19, 2025, than during the same timeframe on December 12.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the median price for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market is higher during the one-hour period from 2:00 to 2:59 PM on December 12, 2025, than during the same timeframe on December 19.
In case both medians are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-the-republican-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-60-minute-median or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the one-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
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