Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Rank #10239·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
0.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$38,621.19
Liquidity
$4,245.52
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.50%
Spread
0.60% (12000bps)
Depth
$4.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.
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