Current YES Probability
1.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.8%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$15,758.42
Liquidity
$3,126.98
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
2%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.2%
Spread
0.40% (3333bps)
Depth
$3.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shaun Maguire ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with Sequoia Capital for any length of time between July 7, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes any termination, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with Sequoia Capital.
An official announcement of Shaun Maguire’s departure from Sequoia Capital (e.g., a statement from Sequoia or Maguire indicating he will no longer be engaged with Sequoia) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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