Part of Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
60.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 41.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$29,244.36
Liquidity
$8,473.15
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
83%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
59%
Spread
3.00% (513bps)
Depth
$8.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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