Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Rank #8514·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
34.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 72.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (Period)
Total Volume
$18.99
Liquidity
$754.12
Thin
Volatility
Confidence (R²)

Market Microstructure

Mid
28%
Spread
12.00% (4286bps)
Depth
$754
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes
BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trending in General

#1
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
+0.0%
#3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
+0.0%