Part of Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Rank #5127·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolved Dec 15, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
91.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 10.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$23,722.31
Liquidity
$10,197.99
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
20%

Market Microstructure

Mid
90%
Spread
2.00% (222bps)
Depth
$10.2k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Resolved Dec 15, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
March 31, 2026
90.0%Trade
January 31, 2026
78.5%Trade
December 31
36.0%Trade
December 15
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Thailand and Cambodia between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia has been reached will suffice.

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