Polymarket•General
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?
Yespolymarket
71%+0.5%
Likely71¢ implied
Price History
History not available yet
Outcomes
Yes
71%
No
30%
Last update: —
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and January 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe.
A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market CloseJan 10, 2026
