Part of Trump cabinet member out by...?

Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
70.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 40.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$14.49
Liquidity
$508.42
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
80%

Market Microstructure

Mid
60%
Spread
20.00% (3333bps)
Depth
$508
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December 31, 2026
78.5%Trade
June 30, 2026
68.0%Trade
March 31, 2026
60.0%Trade
December 31, 2025
5.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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