Current YES Probability
1.3%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.9%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$32,438.73
Liquidity
$6,734.93
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
2%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.1%
Spread
0.40% (3636bps)
Depth
$6.7k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) between October 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
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