Current YES Probability
69.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 63.8%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$7,475.09
Liquidity
$298.30
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
72%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
36%
Spread
65.60% (18122bps)
Depth
$298
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a tariff on imports of semiconductors into the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only tariffs specifically targeting semiconductors will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from China) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tariffs on semiconductors from a specific country will qualify.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
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