Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
12.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 89.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$6,358.56
Liquidity
$4,410.22
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
22%

Market Microstructure

Mid
11%
Spread
2.00% (1818bps)
Depth
$4.4k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country named in President Donald Trump’s December 16, 2025, proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States” is fully removed from the list of countries subject to full or partial entry suspensions by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A country will be considered "removed" if any of the following occur: - The President or Executive Branch formally revokes or modifies the proclamation to remove the country - A federal court issues a final ruling or permanent injunction that blocks the restrictions for that country - Congress passes legislation lifting the restrictions for that country - A relevant federal agency (e.g., DHS, State Department) issues official guidance or updates visa policy indicating the country is no longer subject to restrictions - Nationals of the country resume receiving visas under all categories that had been suspended, without case-by-case waivers The following do not count as a country being removed: - Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions (unless later made permanent) - Delays in enforcement, individual exemptions, or case-by-case waivers - Diplomatic negotiations or public statements about potential future removal without official action - Partial easing that still imposes core restrictions (e.g., resuming B-1/B-2 visas while immigrant visas remain banned) Any official executive, legislative, or judicial action that prevents the proclamation from taking effect on January 1, 2026, or that pauses or ends the travel ban or restriction of a specified country will suffice. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official government communications.

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