Part of Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.4% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$15,055.26
Liquidity
$7,734.98
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.65%
Spread
0.30% (4615bps)
Depth
$7.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
"European Union
1.6%Trade
"Brazil
1.5%Trade
"Israel
1.3%Trade
"South Africa
1.3%Trade
"Indonesia
1.1%Trade
"United Kingdom
1.1%Trade
"Canada
0.9%Trade
"South Korea
0.7%Trade
"Australia
0.7%Trade
"Vietnam
0.7%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States between July 25, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Th Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%