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Part of Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
37.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 76.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$393.28
Liquidity
$403.69
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
48%

Market Microstructure

Mid
24%
Spread
26.00% (10833bps)
Depth
$404
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
"India"
36.5%Trade
"Argentina"
36.0%Trade
"Israel"
33.0%Trade
"Indonesia"
27.5%Trade
"European Union"
24.0%Trade
"Brazil"
21.0%Trade
"Mexico"
19.5%Trade
"Japan"
19.0%Trade
"Vietnam"
19.0%Trade
"Pakistan"
16.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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