Part of Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
2.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$52,332.56
Liquidity
$9,055.09
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
3%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.6%
Spread
1.90% (12258bps)
Depth
$9.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States between July 25, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Th Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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