Part of Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?

Q: Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? - U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?

Current market consensus shows a 19% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

19.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 87.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$136.11

Liquidity

$493.48

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

25%

Market Microstructure

Mid

13%

Spread

13.00% (10400bps)

Depth

$493

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
"India"	39.5%	Trade
"Argentina"	36.0%	Trade
"Israel"	32.5%	Trade
"Indonesia"	31.5%	Trade
"European Union"	24.5%	Trade
"Brazil"	21.5%	Trade
"Mexico"	20.0%	Trade
"Vietnam"	19.5%	Trade
"Japan"	18.5%	Trade
"Pakistan"	16.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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