Part of U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?

Rank #12390·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.2% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$13,265.88
Liquidity
$4,335.06
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.80%
Spread
0.20% (2500bps)
Depth
$4.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
June 30, 2026
20.0%Trade
December 31, 2025
0.8%Trade

Resolution Rules

The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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