Part of U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...?

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Rank #2011·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
42.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 60.4% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$269,654.91
Liquidity
$10,319.20
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
79%

Market Microstructure

Mid
40%
Spread
5.80% (1465bps)
Depth
$10.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
in 2025
39.6%Trade
by December 26
13.5%Trade
by December 23
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize another ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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