Part of U.S. forces seize Venezuela-linked oil ship on...?

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 24?

Rank #2144·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 100.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$23,699.01
Liquidity
$28,217.66
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
0%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.10%
Spread
0.00% (0bps)
Depth
$28.2k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
on December 30
8.0%Trade
on December 31
7.5%Trade
on December 27
7.0%Trade
on December 28
7.0%Trade
on December 29
7.0%Trade
on December 26
5.5%Trade
on December 25
2.3%Trade
on December 24
0.1%Trade
on December 22
-Trade
on December 23
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize a ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Ship seizures that are carried out over multiple days will only qualify for the date that US forces first seize the ship. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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