US civil war before 2027?
Rank #4680·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
6.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$281.72
Liquidity
$9,044.37
Thin
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.5%
Spread
3.00% (6667bps)
Depth
$9.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war.
Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.
Trending in General
#1
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
+0.0%
#3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
+0.0%