US civil war before 2027?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
5.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.8%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$436.48
Liquidity
$6,021.51
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
8%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.3%
Spread
1.70% (4000bps)
Depth
$6.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war.
Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.
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