US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?

Rank #10539·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
50.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 50.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
Total Volume
$2,006.50
Liquidity
$163.09
Thin
Volatility
Confidence (R²)

Market Info

Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYES PriceNO PriceVolume (24h)LiquidityAction
polymarket--$1.51$163.09Trade

Resolution Rules & Criteria

The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions. The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes
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Trending in General

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