Part of US forces in Venezuela by...?
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
33.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 73.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,564.85
Liquidity
$1,174.88
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
54%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
27%
Spread
12.00% (4444bps)
Depth
$1.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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