Current YES Probability
45.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 54.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$51,158.32
Liquidity
$7,292.63
Thin
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
U.S. government forces seized a sanctioned oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela on December 10. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/trump-administration-seizes-oil-tanker-off-venezuela-coast-us-officials-say-2025-12-10/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize another ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.
Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trending in Politics
No trending events found.

