US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
4.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$64,809.00
Liquidity
$4,982.66
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
6%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
3.0%
Spread
2.70% (8852bps)
Depth
$5.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trending in Science & Tech
#1
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
+0.0%
#3
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
+0.0%