US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Rank #10801·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
28.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 72.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
Total Volume
$189.13
Liquidity
$2,454.89
Thin
Volatility
Confidence (R²)

Market Info

Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYES PriceNO PriceVolume (24h)LiquidityAction
polymarket--$0.00$2,454.89Trade

Resolution Rules & Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes
BearishNeutralBullish

Trending in General

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