US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?
Rank #12787·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
91.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 14.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$727.05
Liquidity
$323.22
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
28%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
86%
Spread
10.00% (1163bps)
Depth
$323
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q4 2025 is higher than Q3 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA
Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q4 2025 release will not be counted.
If all relevant data is not published by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.
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