Current YES Probability
33.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 76.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$34.47
Liquidity
$715.06
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
48%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
24%
Spread
18.00% (7500bps)
Depth
$715
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
On June 13, 2025 Iranian leaders announced they no longer plan to engage in nuclear talks with the U.S. that were scheduled to take place in Oman on Sunday (see: https://thehill.com/policy/international/5348689-iran-nuclear-deal-talks-suspended/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that official nuclear-related negotiations between the United States and Iran resume at any point on by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
To qualify, the talks must involve official representatives of both governments and focus primarily on nuclear issues, such as uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, IAEA inspections, or the JCPOA. Talks may be direct or mediated, and may occur in person or virtually.
Only the actual resumption of talks will count; announcements that talks have been scheduled to resume will not alone qualify.
Unofficial backchannel communications, general diplomatic meetings not centered on nuclear issues, or one-sided public proposals will not qualify.
The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
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