Part of Stablecoins depeg by December 31?

USDTb depeg by December 31?

Rank #7450·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
2.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.2% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$8,482.59
Liquidity
$367.83
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
4%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.8%
Spread
1.70% (9189bps)
Depth
$368
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
USR
1.9%Trade
USDTb
1.8%Trade
USDS
0.5%Trade
DAI
0.5%Trade
PYUSD
0.4%Trade
USD1
0.4%Trade
GHO
0.4%Trade
USDE
0.3%Trade
USDC
0.3%Trade
USD0
0.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDTb-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’25 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDTb below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2025 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDTb-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDTbUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDTb-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDTb information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDTb was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

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