Vaccine for new COVID disease in 2025?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
6.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.7% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$7,933.59
Liquidity
$1,863.66
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
7%

Market Microstructure

Mid
3.4%
Spread
5.50% (16418bps)
Depth
$1.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

On February 21, a bat coronavirus that has the capacity to spread to humans, known as HKU5-CoV-2, was reportedly discovered (See: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/china-discovers-new-bat-coronavirus-that-poses-risk-of-animal-to-human-transmission/3489013) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any vaccine intended for humans and inoculating against HKU5-CoV-2 receives full FDA approval between February 20, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the FDA, including their official list of approved vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states).

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