Von der Leyen out in 2025?
Rank #10228·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.6%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$31,584.01
Liquidity
$2,938.08
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
1%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.40%
Spread
0.20% (5000bps)
Depth
$2.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ursula Von der Leyen ceases to be President of the European Commission for any length of time between May 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Von der Leyen departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the European Commission, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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