Part of Next Defense Sec
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 20, 2029 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
14.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 93.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$75.60
Liquidity
$283.55
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
28%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
11%
Spread
7.00% (6667bps)
Open Interest
530 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 20, 2029
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 27.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 22.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 14.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 9.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 5.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 4.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 4.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 4.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 4.0% | Trade |
will be Trump's next Secretary of | 4.0% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
No specific rules provided.
Trending in General
#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%