Part of How many named typhoons in Northwest Pacific in 2025?

Will 29 named typhoons occur in the Northwest Pacific in 2025?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$921.61
Liquidity
$771.29
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.0%
Spread
1.70% (16190bps)
Depth
$771
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will 27
97.2%Trade
Will 28
1.9%Trade
Will 29
1.1%Trade
Will 30
0.3%Trade
Will 32
0.3%Trade
Will 31
0.3%Trade
Will greater than 32
0.3%Trade
Will less than 27
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of named typhoons (i.e., storms assigned an official name) that occur in the Northwest Pacific basin between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59PM UTC, according to the official list published on the Digital Typhoon website by Japan’s National Institute of Informatics. (see: https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/year/wnp/2025.html.en) A “named typhoon” refers to any system officially assigned a name by the meteorological agencies responsible for the Western North Pacific basin. Only storms appearing on the 2025 list on the Digital Typhoon website will count. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until January 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.

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