Part of Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?

Will 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolved Oct 29, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
11.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,127.35
Liquidity
$205.42
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
15%

Market Microstructure

Mid
7.5%
Spread
7.00% (9333bps)
Depth
$205
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Resolved Oct 29, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will D66
96.7%Trade
Will CDA
95.3%Trade
Will VVD
95.1%Trade
Will JA21
26.5%Trade
Will GL/PvdA
8.0%Trade
Will 50PLUS
7.5%Trade
Will BBB
4.1%Trade
Will Volt
3.6%Trade
Will FvD
3.3%Trade
Will CU
2.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Dutch government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place October 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify. This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances." If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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