Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?

Q: Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?

Current market consensus shows a 1% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #10801·0 on watchlist

Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

1.2%0.0% (24h)

NO: 98.8%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Last 24h trend

Volume (Period)

—

Total Volume

$8,218.56

Liquidity

$2,149.89

Thin

Volatility

—

Confidence (R²)

—

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Markets Across Platforms

Platform	YES Price	NO Price	Volume (24h)	Liquidity	Action
polymarket	-	-	$0.00	$2,149.89	Trade

Resolution Rules & Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio

-%/-%

Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-

Retail Sentiment-

Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes

BearishNeutralBullish

Trending in General

No trending events found.