Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Rank #8569·0 on watchlist
Resolves May 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
6.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 93.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$5,783.84
Liquidity
$7,268.26
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
13%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
6.7%
Spread
0.40% (597bps)
Depth
$7.3k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
May 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
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